Online Stock Market Trading A report by an influential consulting firm is exhorting U.S.
companies to speed up "offshoring" operations to China and India,
including high-powered functions such as research and
development.
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Stock Investing Course In blunt terms, the report by the Boston Consulting Group warns
American firms that they risk extinction if they hesitate in
shifting facilities to countries with low costs. That is partly
because the potential savings are so vast, but the report also
cites a view among U.S. executives that the quality of American
workers is deteriorating.
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Stock Market Game "The largest competitive advantage will lie with those companies
that move soonest," the report states. "Companies that wait will be
caught in a vicious cycle of uncompetitive costs, lost
business, underutilized
capacity, and the irreversible destruction of value."
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Stock Investing Game Boston Consulting, which counts among its clients many of the
biggest corporations in the United States, admonishes them that
they have been too reluctant rather than too eager to outsource
production to "LCC's," or low-cost countries.
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Journal Prime Rate Street Wall "Successful companies ask themselves, 'What must I keep at
home?' rather than 'What can I
shift to LCC's?'" states the report. "Their question is not 'Why
outsource to LCC's?' but 'Why not?' "
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Stock Market News The report, released in May, has gone almost unnoticed amid
generally upbeat news as strong economic growth has begun fueling
an increase in jobs, diminishing public debate about
offshoring.
Stock Investing Basics But the report's conclusions underline the intensifying
pressures on corporate America to shift jobs overseas. Although
many economists believe the trend will benefit the U.S. economy
overall by improving productivity, and that new job creation will
more than compensate for the jobs migrating to China and India, the
study suggests that the movement of jobs abroad is likely, if
anything, to accelerate strongly in coming years.
Stock Investing Software Particularly troubling is the report's information about
confidential discussions with executives at Boston Consulting's
client companies, many of whom conveyed low opinions of their
American employees compared with labor available abroad. Not only
are factory workers in low-cost countries much cheaper -- well
below $1 per hour in China, compared with $15 to $30 per hour in
the United States and Europe -- but they quickly achieve quality
levels that are "equivalent to or even higher than . . . [the] best
plants in the West," according to the report.
Stock Market Trading "More than 40 percent of the companies we talked with expressed
significant concerns about the erosion of skills in the work
force," the report states. "They cited machine operators who are
unable to handle specialized equipment properly or to make the
transition to new work materials. In contrast, LCC's provide large
pools of skilled workers who are eager to apply their 'craftsman'
talents."
Stock Investing For Dummy Midlevel engineers in low-cost countries, the report adds, "tend
to be more motivated than midlevel engineers in the West." It cites
General Electric Co., Motorola Inc., Alcatel and Siemens AG as
examples of companies that have set up research and development
centers in both India and China "to leverage the substantial pools
of engineering talent that are based in the two countries."
Stock Market Crash Indeed, the report undercuts the view that R&D jobs in
Western countries will increase even as low-skill jobs migrate to
nations like China and India. Among companies with large operations
in low-cost nations, "One of the most intriguing advantages we have
come across is faster [and lower-cost] R&D," the report
states.
Stock Investing Tip Economists who contend that offshoring benefits the U.S. economy
in the long run voiced consternation over the report, which they
fear could help revive the political clamor for protectionist
measures that erupted last year when the media focused public
attention on the loss of high-tech jobs to India. Referring to the
authors' "brutal honesty," Catherine L. Mann, a fellow at the
Institute for International Economics, said, "Maybe because they're
from Boston, they don't know what a hornets nest they've stepped
into."
Stock Market Chart Despite the report's findings, Mann and other economists said it
does not alter their fundamental belief that the U.S. economy will
grow, and job opportunities expand, even as offshoring continues to
disrupt the lives of many American workers and disproportionately
affect people at the lower end of the skill scale.
Online Stock Investing Matthew J. Slaughter, a professor at the Tuck School of Business
at Dartmouth, pointed to research he published in March using
Commerce Department data to show how offshoring can have a positive
impact on U.S. job growth, as part of the "churn" in employment
that constantly eliminates jobs but also adds them.
Stock Market Crash Of Although U.S. multinationals expanded their overseas payrolls by
2.8 million from 1991 to 2001, in moves that often involved factory
closures and layoffs in the United States, they expanded their U.S.
employment levels by nearly 5.5 million, according to Slaughter's
study. That is partly because as such firms expand the scale of
their operations abroad, they need more personnel at
home to handle functions such as
marketing, logistics, finance and product design. For similar
reasons, McKinsey & Co., one of Boston Consulting's main
rivals, has estimated that for every $1 invested abroad by U.S.
companies, the U.S. economy gains $1.14, which can be plowed
into job-creating enterprises.
Stock Investing For Beginner "In the '90s, we were creating and destroying tens of millions
of jobs each year," Slaughter said, "and that context is a little
forgotten when people say '3 million jobs will be destroyed over 10
years,' " a widely cited forecast of the number of service jobs
that will be moved offshore.
Finance Journal Personal Harold L. Sirkin, one of the chief authors of the Boston
Consulting report, agreed that it should not be interpreted as bad
news overall for U.S. living standards. "This is the same
thing as we had when people were worried about how the Japanese
were going to take over the world, or the Mexicans were going to
take all the U.S. jobs -- how many times have we heard this
refrain?" Sirkin said. "This is an economy that has proven time
after time to be incredibly resilient and capable of
adjusting."
Stock Market Report Offshoring production will mean that American companies lower
their costs and raise their productivity, and although some jobs
will be lost in the process, pouring the surplus
money and workers into new
industries means "you'll create jobs you wouldn't have otherwise,"
he said. Trying to fight the trend, and preserve jobs by making it
difficult for firms to lay off workers, "means you become a zero
growth economy," with fewer jobs in the long run, he added.
Finance Investing Stock Market The report provides reason after reason for why U.S. firms
should locate operations offshore, and rebuts the arguments for why
the trend is likely to slacken.
Wall Street Journal Com In contrast to experts who have predicted that rapidly rising
wages in China and India will dampen their appeal to corporations,
Boston Consulting contends that the Chinese and Indian cost
advantage "may actually increase" in coming years. Partly that is
because they are starting from such a low level.
Stock Market Investing Advice "If wages increase at an annual rate of 8 percent in China,
while in the United States and Germany they increase at annual
rates of 2.5 percent and 2 percent, respectively, in 2009 the
average hourly wages will be approximately $1.30 in China, $25.30
in the United States, and $34.50 in Germany," the report said. So
in dollar terms, the wage gap will have expanded rather than
shrunk.
Street Trader Wall Moreover, "the growth of wages in China and India will be
limited because of the enormous reservoir of underemployed people
in these countries," the report says, noting that 800 million
Chinese living in the countryside "are
expected to exert very strong downward pressure on wages for
low-skilled positions over the next few decades. . . . India, for
its part, has a pool of 25 million highly educated English-speaking
workers, expanding by a million every year."
Indian Stock Market The report advises that some products should not be moved
overseas, such as those where there is a high risk of stealing
patents and copyrights. It warns that companies incur high initial
costs, including severance payments, when they go abroad -- "in the
range of $25,000 to $100,000 per transferred full-time employee."
Establishing and managing a supply chain in a foreign country can
also entail significant initial outlays.
Stock Investing Advice But those drawbacks typically melt away, according to the
report, as companies recognize the other advantages to offshoring,
including gaining access to huge and growing markets. China is "a
very special entity in this respect," having already become the
world's largest market for machine tools, the report says.
Free Journal Street Wall "Although [the] risks are real, experience has shown that they
can be managed -- and that there may be greater risk in failing to
make the move," the report says. "Companies that continue to
hesitate do so at their peril."
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