Wall Street

Online Stock Market Trading Linda reveals truth about your thinking...

In your own mind, answer this question about Linda

Linda is 31 years old, single, outspoken, and very bright. She majored in philosophy. As a student, she was deeply concerned with issues of discrimination and social justice, and also participated in anti-nuclear demonstrations.

Which of these two options is more probable:

Linda is a bank teller, or

Linda is a bank teller and active in the feminist movement?

Psychology theory tells us that 80%-90% of most people will have answered (b).

Why (b) when there is no clear evidence that Linda is going to be active in the feminist movement?

Why make such a significant personal judgement about a person we know practically nothing about after reading a single paragraph?

This is because in an environment of uncertainty, we as humans tend to make intuitive, irrational judgements rather than rational decisions.

These decisions will be at best biased, or too often wrong.

This is even more serious when combined with the fact that humans suffer from cognitive dissonance, or the tendency to cling to one's beliefs, even when presented with incontrovertible evidence to the contrary.

This means many people will continue to stick with their emotional-based beliefs despite what they are taught or shown.

Part of this is due to the fact that amidst the chaos of social cues, humans must render judgments, generate inferences, make decisions and solve tangible problems in real time as events happen.

Evolution rewards intuitive reactions that have led to humans finding food, choosing a mate and, more recently, making a fortune on the stock market.

But, here is the catch. Intuitive reactions and judgements - especially in shares - are generally a million to one shot at best. Even when backed by a small amount of evidence, the likelihood of these reactions making money is practically zero.

The stock market is driven by fear, greed, hope, ego and most of all, by people.

Always remember that trading emotionally does not work and that is why you need to stay with your trading system, even though it will be your natural human reaction to go with your gut feeling.

Keep in mind that a trading system is a set of RULES that define your actions given any circumstance that might arise made of the 5 components.

* Style - Definition of trading objective

* Entry - Conditions required to open a trade

* Risk - Rules to limit losses; preserve funds

* Exit - Rules to define exit points

* Testing - Proving your plan


Try this simple test:

Company A is a Perth-based mining company. In May 2003, the company celebrated its 20th anniversary of listing on the Australian Stock Exchange ("ASX"). The company has two operating divisions, Gold and Advanced Minerals.

Since its first gold pour in 1983, the Company has produced over 4.7 million ounces of gold. Since 1988m the Company's gold hedging programme has generated around A$706 million of additional revenue by achieving an average realised delivery price of A$651 per ounce of gold. This compares with an average spot price over this period of A$497 per ounce.


Which of these two options is more probable:


You will buy company A, or...


You will sell company A

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From his appearances on The Oprah Winfrey Show to his roster of celebrity clients to his reality television series, Cesar Millan is America' behavior expert. But Cesar is not a trainer in the traditional sense—his expertise lies in his unique ability to comprehend dog psychology. walled farm in Mexico to the celebrity palaces of Los Angeles, Cesar recounts how he learned what makes dogs tick. In Cesar's Way, he shares this wisdom, laying the groundwork for you to have stronger, more satisfying relationships with your canine companions.

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Wall Street has been expecting earnings per share of $1.25, excluding items, on sales of $989.3 million. In February, year forecast for earnings of $1.20 to $1.26 per share, based compensation. Chief Executive E. Scott Beattie said that organizational improvements in Europe and Asia, particularly China, would contribute to revenues and earnings next year.

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When you first start out trading, it is difficult to trade on the spur of the moment. There are too many issues to attend to, and without a wealth of experience, you are bound to make mistakes. Making a specific action plan while trading has clear benefits. Scientific research illustrates how action plans help people achieve their goals. Dr. Gollwitzer, Professor of Psychology at New York University has conducted several studies that show the benefits of making specific plans that outline WHEN, WHERE, and HOW to perform an action.

Stock Market News Company A is Sons of Gwalia and collapsed in Sept 2004...

Which option did you choose?

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John Lynch is Marketing Manager of the Capital Intelligence Group of companies, including HomeTrader - Australia's leading stock market education centres. We focus on teaching you how to create wealth through the share/stock market using a customised trading plan or system that is right for you, your situation and your goals. Visit our website and register for your free introductory DVD "Learn To Make Money On The Stock Market" at http://www.learnshares.com.au

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